Kenya decides:2022


7 days ago, my fellow citizens turned up to vote for the next government. While turnout was low, with only 64% voting the process was smooth. Tallying of the results however took a good 6 days. I think we need help here.

If the presidential results are not contested, then William Ruto will be the 5th president of the Republic. I am not very enthusiastic about it but I think there could be silver lining. For one, the attempt to mutilate the constitution might die a slow death with uhuru and raila. I am not confident that he will do any better in terms of bring faithful to the law.

The choice for Nairobi governor I like. With the election of Sakaja all the functions of the county government will return to the county. Some of these had been taken over by the national government in a move that appeared to me to be a power grab.

With his 5th loss, I hope Raila goes home and exits the political scene. Should this happen, there is room for others to grow in stature and possibly expand the democratic space.

I hope we will have a functioning opposition party in parliament to check the excesses of the government and to provide alternative policy direction. If this doesn’t happen, we will effectively be a one party state- though with different political players/parties.

And finally, to make a note that this process has been quite peaceful. And transparent. I believe there will be very few petitions going forward and the process can only get better.

Bye for now.

About makagutu

As Onyango Makagutu I am Kenyan, as far as I am a man, I am a citizen of the world

20 thoughts on “Kenya decides:2022

  1. Barry says:

    7 days seems reasonable to me, Here, special votes can take up to 10 days to be counted, and at the last election, 17% of all votes cast were special votes. It’s not unusual for some polling day electorate (voting district) results to be overturned or for the proportionality of Parliament to change by several seats (special votes tend to favour parties in the left more than parties on the right).

    Following final results, it can then take weeks and occasionally months of wrangling before a workable coalition is hammered out. It’s been that way ever since we adopted a MMP (Mixed Member Proportional) electoral system in 1996. The only exception was the 2020 elections where the Labour Party won a simple majority on its own due to its successful handling of the pandemic. I don’t expect that situation to be repeated any time soon.

    Liked by 1 person

    • makagutu says:

      Here, votes are counted at polling stations. Then we have constituency and national tallying.
      Since ours ain’t a parliamentary system, the president can still govern without a majority though I am not sure we have had a situation like this. Politicians change allegiance sometimes more regularly than their undergarments.

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      • Barry says:

        Here votes are counted at a single location within each electorate, of which there are 70. All special votes, no matter where they are cast must be delivered to the appropriate electorate location for counting. Hence the necessity of 10 days..

        As for politicians changing allegiance, that gets complicated here due to the number of seats each party has in Parliament is calculated on the percentage of votes the party gained nationally. So someone changing allegiance disturbs the proportionality of Parliament. Generally the parliamentarian must resign and a by-election held. Then depending on the result, some juggling of list seats may occur (50 of these are reserved to ensure proportionality as at the last general election)

        I’m not keen on the presidential system as so much power/authority is in the hands if a single person. Trump and Putin come to mind. Here, even the entire cabinet collectively doesn’t have that much authority.

        Liked by 1 person

        • makagutu says:

          Iโ€™m not keen on the presidential system as so much power/authority is in the hands if a single person.

          I am acutely aware of this. We have done a few things to check the office of the president but it is still not sufficient as the other arms of government seem not able to assert themselves adequately as envisioned by the constitution. It is a work in progress.

          There are very occasions here when politicians have made their defections on the floor of the house requiring a by election, though their actions will leave nothing to doubt that they have changed.

          We don’t have special votes. In fact, apart from the referendum that resulted in the new constitution, we have not had a plebiscite on specific issues.

          Liked by 1 person

          • Barry says:

            Special votes refers to votes for Parliamentary seats where the voter happens to be outside of their electorate when they cast their vote. At the last election that was 17% of all votes cast.

            I think what you thought of as special votes are referendums. These can be either citizen initiated (10% of registered voters) or government initiated.

            From memory, since the mid 1990s we’ve had in 5 citizen initiated referendums, and 9 government initiated referendums, the most recent being on voluntary euthanasia, and on recreational cannabis use.

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  2. I thought of you while watching the whole drama unfold all over the news channels, but of course, they preferred to report on the protest and clashes with the police

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  3. ladysighs says:

    I notice you used the word “hope” twice. That’s about what it comes down to.
    At least the process was peaceful. Violence is starting to be all too common in places I never could imagine. ๐Ÿ˜ฆ

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  4. Tish Farrell says:

    Good to hear the elections went off peacefully, Mak. Ruto certainly has come a long way from the chicken selling narrative. A man of many abilities it seems. Also it would surely be good to finally break with the Raila-Uhuru construct, the endless re-working of same-old personality politics of the post-colonial times. Kenyans deserve something better – some fresh thinking that fosters indigenous ingenuity. So yes – here’s hoping…

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    • makagutu says:

      Our elections are generally peaceful. It is the post election that is never predictable and mostly because the electoral body is not usually transparent in its tallying of the results.
      Ruto has created a persona of being a common man, like the people, and this narrative seem to have sold and stuck. But this is pure revisionist history. Parents may not have been rich, but he has been in politics for over 30 years, starting as a youth winger for Moi.
      We need a break from state capture under uhuru-moi- Rainaโ€™s families but Ruto canโ€™t deliver it. He has been part of it all through.

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      • Tish Farrell says:

        Yes, I was wondering how actually ‘independent’ Ruto was. I’d read he was ‘cultivated’ by Moi, which gives much pause for thought (understatement). Just heard via Graham that Raila is contesting the result. I hope things don’t turn nasty. But you know, Mak, all politics these days stink, none more so than the state of things in the UK. We’ve all been asleep, and are apparently ruled by ignorant. self-interested, rich people. Who is pulling their strings has yet to be revealed.

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        • makagutu says:

          He is a Moi protege through and through. So you expect no professionalism, plunder and despotism among others.
          Yeah, so we still have 2 weeks of election related slow down.
          You bet; ignorant, arrogant, self interested and rich. But then again, the qualifications for politicians are so awfully low that any riffraff who meets them gets voted.

          Liked by 1 person

  5. renudepride says:

    Hopefully, the new government will not disappoint. Progress is sometimes slow but ideally perseveres! ๐Ÿ™‚ Naked hugs!

    Like

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